Afterofficial launch of the NFL program, we can determine which teams have the easiest and most difficult 2023NFLschedules With the game dates and times now posted, we can use our estimated team strength calculations and try to figure out who has the easiest and toughest strength in the NFL.
Who has the easiest strength in the NFL?
The New Orleans Saints have the easiest schedule strengthfor the 2023 NFL season based on these projections. The Saints benefit from being the strongest rated team in their own division, meaning they play the easier combination of NFC South opponents in six of their games, as well as the relatively weak NFC North.
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Adding the weakest AFC conference, the AFC South, to their schedule only helps. Their third-place finish last year in the division also means they face a lower-tier opponent in the Los Angeles Rams and bottom-half opponents in the New York Giants and New England Patriots.
Who has the toughest schedule in the NFL?
The New York Giants have the toughest schedule forcefor the 2023 NFL season, taking into account the projected strength of all of its teams. That's not surprising, as they'll be playing two of the toughest teams in the NFC, the Eagles and Cowboys, twice in addition to a heavyweight NFC West.
Although the Giants will play the Washington Commanders, which means they should get a breather in their schedule that Washington doesn't, they lose ground to the Commanders by having the Packers, Raiders and Saints on their schedule instead of the Bears, Broncos and Falcon. . Also, the Giants have some of their toughest joint games on the road, like the 49ers, the Bills, and the Dolphins.
Which NFL division has the toughest combined schedule?
At the estimated point, the difference isThe most complicated schedule belongs to the AFC East. Not only did the Bills and Dolphins prove they could be Super Bowl contenders with healthy quarterbacks, but the addition of Aaron Rodgers to the New York Jets and an expected upgrade for Mac Jones and the Patriots should also mean they've beaten each other. Yeah. in their intra-divisional matches.
They all also have the NFC East on their schedule, which is ranked as the second-biggest division overall, so they'll be playing each other and two NFC favorites for the Super Bowl.
Ranking all 32 NFL teams based on schedule strength
1) New York Giants
The Giants' difficult schedule means they have the best chance of missing the playoffs than any of the 2022 playoff winners.
2) New York Jets
The Jets are the only team projected to go from a .500-plus team to a .500-plus team due to their schedule.
3) New England Patriots
Of all the teams ranked fourth, New England is expected to have the toughest schedule. They lose an International Series home game, which hurts even more.
4) Buffalo Bills
The Bills lose the most in potential playoff probability after falling from 11.6 projected wins to 10.9 in the toughest projected division. With a neutral game in London, they could lose even more.
5) Miami Dolphins
After the Detroit Lions, the Miami Dolphins have the second biggest difference in home vs. away difficulty.
6) Philadelphia Eagles
The Eagles and Bills have the toughest schedules of all projected divisional winners.
7) Los Angeles Rams
The Los Angeles Rams will probably have the most uncertainty in the NFL other than quarterback, with more rookies signed or drafted than any other NFL team.
8) Los Angeles Chargers
The Chargers are tied with the Lions for the most difference in strength between their toughest matchup (Chiefs away from home) and weakest matchup (Bears at home).
9) Dallas Cowboys
The Dallas Cowboys can benefit more from the quarterback's health.
10) Commanders from Washington
Sam Howell was the most difficult quarterback to project, with the fewest samples available for late-round sophomore quarterbacks who didn't start right away.
11) Seattle Seahawks
Seattle has the most uncertain quarterback schedule, with two games against San Francisco and one game each against Cleveland, Carolina and Washington.
12) Arizona Cardinals
Of the five teams that hired a new head coach, the Cardinals have the worst projected defense and the most to gain from hiring their defensive head coach.
13) Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs are the only team with an estimated win probability greater than 50% in all their games.
14) Denver Broncos
The Denver Broncos have the second most "shots" (45% to 55% win probability) in the NFL on their schedule, behind the New Orleans Saints.
15) San Francisco 49ers
The 49ers have the strongest estimated team performance in a world where all quarterback performances are valued equally.
16) Las Vegas Raiders
Along with the rest of the AFC West, the Raiders are expected to play in the strongest division in point spread (AFC East) and the weakest (NFC North).
17) Cincinnati Bengals
The Eagles, Jaguars and Bengals have the toughest schedule strengths in their own division despite being the strongest teams in their division.
18) Minnesota Vikings
The Vikings have the biggest difference between their projected wins (7.9) and their 2022 win total (13).
19) Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh has one of the smallest estimated differences in point differential between 2022 and 2023.
20) Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay has the second most pitches in the NFC behind New Orleans.
21) Baltimore Ravens
Lamar Jackson's presence won a potential four games for the Ravens and led them to the playoffs.
22) Jacksonville Jaguars
The Eagles, Jaguars and Bengals have the toughest schedules in their respective divisions, despite being the strongest teams in them.
23) Cleveland Coffees
Cleveland could go from seven wins to 10 depending on which Deshaun Watson they get.
24) Detroit Lions
The Lions have the largest variation in opponent strength from week to week.
25) Tennessee Titans
The Titans, along with the Saints and Packers, are one of three teams that went from under .500 to over .500 due to their schedule.
26) Chicago Bears
Despite an easy schedule, the Chicago Bears are the only team without a single game on their schedule with an estimated probability of winning of over 50%.
27) Carolina Panthers
The Panthers have the most to gain from model uncertainty, with their most dramatic quarterback trade results of any team.
28) Houston Texans
Houston has the easiest schedule in the AFC were it not for the international games, but the Colts had a road game turned neutral site.
29) Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis does not have a greater than 50% chance of winning in any of its road games.
30) Green Bay Packers
After New Orleans, the Packers have the second friendliest road schedule.
31) Atlanta Falcons
The Falcons have the easiest home schedule in estimated point difference and the smallest difference in strength between their strongest opponent and their weakest opponent.
32) New Orleans Saints
The Saints have a projected win based solely on their schedule versus an average team schedule.
Are the schedule force projections accurate?
Using last year's point differential, accounting for game placement, quarterback changes, and luck-dependent events like fumble recovery rate, we can calculate a rough estimate of the strength of each team based on their expected performance against an average opponent on a neutral ground.
This method has done a better job retrospectively of past seasons than pure win totals or point differential and is on par with models like DVOA. However, there must be so much uncertainty in the model that no team is estimated to go below 5.5 wins or above 11.8 wins, although it happens to several teams each season. This is one of the reasons why any strength of the schedule projection is inaccurate.
MERO:2023 Post-Draft NFL Power Rankings
Our model represents more than just a team record from the previous season. We take into account if a team was favored by bad luck or untenable luck, e.g. via fumble luck, special teams production, turnover production, and close games.
We also take quarterback changes into account: Teams like the New Orleans Saints and New York Jets will be a little different when it comes to getting better at quarterback. For teams planning to start as rookies or players without a strong track record, we project their performance based on the round they were drafted in and the number of years they've been in the NFL.
In addition, the model includes adjustments for the historical increase in performance for teams coming out of bye weeks, the decline in performance after back-to-back road trips, andestimated loss for long tripsas well as the time zone effects of traveling west for late games and traveling east for early games. There is also a small effect on teams from hot weather, or playing indoors, that are scheduled to play outdoor stadium teams in December and January.
This method doesn't account for all of the offseason changes, so it probably underestimates teams like the Bears that had strong free agency. He also doesn't try to assign any value to the draft, except at quarterback, where he gives those QBs the average performance of all-time draft prospects within his reach.
The effects of distance and time zone are not linear, and the marginal change is less with increasing distance: the difference between a 500-mile walk and a 1,000-mile walk is greater than the difference between a 1,000-mile walk and a 1,000-mile walk. 1,500 miles. hike hiking
For teams traveling to London, there is no "distance" penalty (both teams must travel more than 3,000 miles round trip), except for teams playing in Jacksonville, which has shown quite a bit of home-field advantage. consistent there. In this case, the distance corresponds to a cross-country trip.
Not all unique situations can be accounted for, but there are extreme cases. The good news is that unique situations, like a team taking back-to-back road trips to visit the two Los Angeles teams that choose to stay in the city, have fairly minor ramifications.
It's also possible that he underestimates teams like the New York Jets, where his turnaround at quarterback is more dramatic than the model can explain. It may also underestimate the Cleveland Browns, as the model takes a three-year average of the quarterback's performance, with more emphasis on his most recent season. It might be fair to think that Watson is more likely to perform closer to an MVP level of play.
For players like Desmond Ridder, Jordan Love and Sam Howell, where we have a low portion of their regular season performance, they get credit for being the average rookie quarterback drafted in their range plus a small bonus for sitting on the bench for some time. time.
However, we can pretty much say that both the NFC East and AFC East are going to struggle in some tough matchups.
Who has hardest schedule in NFL 2023? ›
What NFL team has the hardest schedule in 2023: Based on projected win totals, the New England Patriots have the hardest strength of schedule for the 2023 NFL season. NFL teams with the hardest schedules in 2023: New England Patriots.What NFL team has the easiest 2023 schedule? ›
The second-most difficult schedule belongs to the Dolphins, who will face a brutal road schedule this year with games against the Bills, Chiefs, Chargers, Eagles, Ravens and Aaron Rodgers' Jets. On the opposite end of the spectrum, the easiest strength of schedule belongs to Atlanta at . 417.Who has the highest strength of schedule in the NFL? ›
The Philadelphia Eagles have the most difficult strength of schedule for the 2023 NFL season, according to 2022 regular season records of each team's opponents. Tennessee has the 28th most difficult strength of schedule, and each AFC South team is in the bottom 11 in strength of schedule difficulty.What is the Bengals strength of schedule? ›
Those 14 opponents give the Bengals the 17th-ranked strength of schedule in the NFL. Strength of schedule is determined by the winning percentage of the teams being played in the upcoming season. The teams the Bengals are playing in 2023 combined for a winning percentage of .510.What NFL team has the best defense 2023? ›
The San Francisco 49ers, Philadelphia Eagles, Dallas Cowboys, New York Jets and Miami Dolphins have the best defenses in the NFL based on our 2023 NFL defense rankings.Who is the NFL Favourite 2023? ›
At DraftKings, the top three favorites to win the AFC in 2023 are the Chiefs (+350), Bills (+475) and Bengals (+475).Is the 2023 NFL schedule available? ›
The league has announced that the 2023 schedule will be released on Thursday, May 11 at 8 p.m. ET.Which NFL defense has the easiest strength of schedule? ›
- The New Orleans Saints have the easiest strength of schedule for the 2023 NFL season, according to these projections. ...
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In American football, a 4–3 defense is a defensive alignment consisting of four down linemen and three linebackers. It is called a "base defense" because it is the default defensive alignment used on "base downs" (1st and 2nd downs).What NFL team allows the most rushing TDS? ›
What is Bengals weakest position? ›
ESPN Names Linebacker as Bengals' Weakest Position Following 2023 NFL Draft. Cincinnati has some depth questions at that spot.Who has the most rushing TDS in a game for the Bengals? ›
Joe Mixon turned in a historic performance against the Panthers on Sunday. The Bengals running back scored five touchdowns in Cincinnati's 42-21 romp over Carolina. Mixon finished the day with 22 carries for 153 yards and four rushing touchdowns, to go with four catches for 58 yards and another score.What are the odds of the Bengals winning the Super Bowl? ›
The Cincinnati Bengals are among the early favorites to lift the Lombardi Trophy at the end of the Super Bowl in February 2024 in Las Vegas. According to FanDuel's initial odds, the Bengals, Philadelphia Eagles and San Fransisco 49ers have the third-best odds to win next year's NFL title, at +900.Who has the best offense in the NFL 2023? ›
- Kansas City Chiefs. PROJECTED WIN SHARE: 8.7. ...
- Philadelphia Eagles. PROJECTED WIN SHARE: 8.5. ...
- Buffalo Bills. PROJECTED WIN SHARE: 8.2. ...
- Cincinnati Bengals. ...
- Dallas Cowboys. ...
- San Francisco 49ers. ...
- Seattle Seahawks. ...
- Baltimore Ravens.
|1||San Francisco 49ers|
ESPN+ gives you access to non-stop NFL action all season long, with live games, originals, highlights, and more. After you sign up, be sure to log in to your device with your ESPN account to stream on your TV and other devices.How to get all NFL games at once? ›
With an NFL+ Premium subscription, you get all the features of NFL+ with the added benefits of full & condensed game replays and Coaches Film. How do I sign up for NFL+? You can sign up for NFL+ at nfl.com/plus or through the NFL App on your mobile device, Smart TV, or connected device.What team is most likely to win the Super Bowl 2023? ›
The Kansas City Chiefs are the favorite in the futures odds for Super Bowl 58. The Chiefs beat the Philadelphia Eagles, 38-35, in Super Bowl 57.Which team is most likely to go to Super Bowl 2023? ›
|NFL Team||Current Odds||Opening Odds|
|Kansas City Chiefs||+650||+600|
Who has the most rushing yards in the NFL 2023? ›
Flex scheduling will expand to Monday Night Football beginning in 2023. Games will be able to move from Sundays to Mondays, and vice-versa, from Week 12 to Week 17. The NFL will need to make those switches with at least 12 days notice.How does NFL playoff seeding work 2023? ›
How do the NFL playoffs work in 2023? With seven teams competing in each conference, here's how the playoffs work: Each first-round seed receives an automatic bye into the divisional round, and the remaining six teams compete in the wild card round.Will all games be on NFL? ›
With an NFL+ Premium subscription, you can watch football on your schedule with full and condensed replays of every game. NFL+ includes live Preseason games that do not air locally within your market on all supported devices.Who has the worst offense in Madden 23? ›
The Worst Bowl. The home team Texans were one of the worst performers overall in the season, and they're also the worst team in Madden 23 with a paltry 74 rating.Who is the fastest QB in Madden 23? ›
It should come as no surprise that Lamar Jackson has received the highest speed rating among all quarterbacks in Madden 23. His 96 rating clears the field by at least four points and he also leads the way in many other mobility attributes too.Who has the worst defense in Madden 23? ›
#1 Houston Texans (74)
Mills showed flashes of potential last year and will hope to build on that during the 2022 season. The Texans are one of three teams, along with the Giants and Seahawks, to receive a bottom-five rating for both offense and defense.
The Tennessee Titans allowed the most passing yards by a team in 2022, with 4,935 yards. StatMuse has team, season-level data for opponent passing yards going back to the 1933 season.Who has the number 1 rated defense in the NFL? ›
- The 49ers have the best defense in the NFL with only 300.6 total yards allowed per game.
- On defense, San Francisco has been a top-five unit, ranking best by giving up only 16.3 points per game.
- On defense, the 49ers rank 20th in the NFL, giving up 222.9 passing yards per game.
Which NFL fans are most likely to start a fight? ›
According to respondents, when it comes to the biggest fight provokers in the NFL, the award goes to fans of the Philadelphia Eagles. Not only do fans feel that Eagles fans are most likely to start a fight, but they're also most likely to win one as well.What is the most used defense in the NFL? ›
The 4-3 is a very popular defensive formation in the NFL. It uses four defensive linemen, three linebackers, two cornerbacks, and two safeties.
Dual-threat quarterbacks have historically been more prolific at the college level. In the NFL, Cam Newton is the all-time leader in rushing attempts (1,118) and rushing touchdowns (75) for a quarterback, while Michael Vick holds the record for most rushing yards (6,109).What QB has 100 TDs with 2 teams? ›
Fran Tarkenton was the first to accomplish this feat with the Vikings and the Giants. Kurt Warner, who preceded Palmer as the starting QB in Arizona, also pulled off the rare feat during his stint with the Rams and the Cards.What QB has the most career TDs? ›
Tom Brady holds the record for most passing touchdowns with 649 and most playoff touchdown passes with 88. Aaron Rodgers leads all active players with 475 career passing touchdowns.Who are the Bengals biggest rival? ›
|First meeting||November 2, 1970 Steelers 21, Bengals 10|
|Latest meeting||November 20, 2022 Bengals 37, Steelers 30|
|Next meeting||November 26, 2023|
1. 1988 Cincinnati Bengals. The 1988 Cincinnati Bengals team was much like the '81 squad. They were led by a star quarterback — this time it was All-Pro Boomer Esiason — and had four Pro Bowlers.What was the worst year for the Bengals? ›
In the December 12 game against the 49ers, Sayers triumphed over muddy conditions to score his historic six touchdowns–four rushing, one receiving and one return–tying an NFL record held by Ernie Nevers of the Chicago Cardinals (1929) and Dub Jones of the Cleveland Browns (1951).What NFL QBs have thrown 7 TDS in a game? ›
|Drew Brees||7||New Orleans Saints vs. New York Giants, November 1, 2015|
|Nick Foles||7||Philadelphia Eagles vs. Oakland Raiders, November 3, 2013|
|Peyton Manning+||7||Denver Broncos vs. Baltimore Ravens, September 5, 2013|
|Joe Kapp||7||Minnesota Vikings vs. Baltimore Colts, September 28, 1969|
Who has the most passing touchdowns in one game? ›
A total of eight players have thrown for a record seven touchdowns in one game, with Hall of Famer Sid Luckman being the first to achieve the feat. As a member of the Chicago Bears, Luckman lit up the New York Giants for seven touchdowns in November 1943.Could Bengals go to Super Bowl? ›
Cincinnati Bengals Super Bowl Odds & Futures 2024
As long as Joe Burrow is under center then the Bengals are a mainstay as a potential Super Bowl contender as their Super Bowl Odds imply. They field one of the most lethal pass attacks in football with lethal weapons at every single skill position.
The Kansas City Chiefs (+650) are the favorite to win Super Bowl LVIII based on betting markets, followed by the Philadelphia Eagles at +700, the Cincinnati Bengals at +900, the Buffalo Bills at +900, and the San Francisco 49ers at +900. Where will Super Bowl 58 be?What do Bengals fans say? ›
While many fans just cry "Who Dey," there is a whole chant associated with the phrase coming from the Bengals' fight song "The Bengals Growl." The entire cheer goes: "Who dey, who dey, who dey think gonna beat dem Bengals?"Is the 2023 NFL schedule out? ›
The National Football League on Monday announced that the 2023 NFL Schedule powered by AWS will be released on NFL Network, NFL.com, the NFL app and NFL+ on Thursday, May 11 at 8 p.m. ET.What two teams are most likely to go to the Super Bowl 2023? ›
NFL Odds for Super Bowl LVIII.
|NFL Team||Current Odds||Opening Odds|
|San Francisco 49ers||+900||+900|
|New York Jets||+1400||+2500|
The NFL announced its 18-week, 272-game regular-season schedule for 2023, which kicks off on Thursday night, September 7, in Kansas City and concludes with 16 division games in Week 18 – two on Saturday, January 6, and 14 on Sunday, January 7.What is the formula for the 2023 NFL schedule? ›
2023 Opponents Determined January 9, 2023
Under the formula, each team will play 17 regular-season games (and three preseason games) as follows: Home and away against its three division opponents (six games). The four teams from another division within its conference on a rotating, three-year cycle (four games).
2023 Super Bowl halftime show: 3 things to know
There are four teams that haven't yet played in a Super Bowl: Cleveland Browns, Jacksonville Jaguars, Detroit Lions, and Houston Texans.
Super Bowl Odds | 2023 Season Futures For All 32 NFL Teams
The San Francisco 49ers +700, the Philadelphia Eagles +750, the Buffalo Bills +850 and the Cincinnati Bengals +850 are also at the top of futures boards.
Who is predicted to win Super Bowl 2023? ›
How many NFL teams get a bye in the 2023 NFL Playoffs? A total of 14 teams compete in the playoffs, which means there are seven teams from each conference. Each first-round seed will receive an automatic bye into the divisional round, while the other six teams will compete in the wild card round.How many playoff teams in 2023? ›
2023 NFL playoffs: Ranking all 14 postseason squads, with Chiefs, Bills headlining Super Bowl contenders - CBSSports.com.What teams are going to playoffs 2023? ›
- Milwaukee Bucks - Miami Heat.
- Cleveland Cavaliers - New York Knicks.
- Philadelphia 76ers - Brooklyn Nets.
- Boston Celtics - Atlanta Hawks.